Sunday, 31 January 2016

Central banks supporting this TAPE......

8 trading days ago we saw the lowest point since October 2014, we undercut previous lows and then reversed UP. In 4 weeks S&P 500 lost 269.27 points or 12.94%, which was the steepest straight line drop. This drop shook the confidence of most traders as they have not seen this type of relentless selling.

In last 8 trading days we have regained 127.95 points or 7.06% from low, that was also a very fast rebound.

Markets are highly unpredictable all the time, all we can do is be prepared for a sharp drop and be positioned for any reversal which may take place.

ECB started this turnaround and BOJ gave the much needed boost, so we have moved above many resistance points.

Market seems to be ready for many more upside moves, 2000 is first resistance then 2040 is next in S&P 500, that is a nice range to shoot for.

World economies are a mixed bag, India doing well, while China, US, Canada, EU are showing growth but @ lower pace.

ECB upcoming stimulus in March is a given, US Fed has a wait and see approach, it may be more wait.

Many sectors have participated in this rally which was extremely broadbased, even bank stocks have a pulse.

Still many earnings report are coming which provides ideas to go for, GOOG is among the important one this week.

Strength needs to be bought and stay with, important to know the fundamental of each holding. as there is always too much noise to deal with.

Patience was required to deal with slump we had and it paid off when TAPE turned UP.

Diversification, conviction needs to be there to optimize returns.

Sometimes eliminating weaker results are necessary.

Deployment of funds needs to be in the right place.

Good luck with your own strategy.

BLOG does NOT give buy or sell.

Saleem


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